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Edit my article, analysis, evaluation. Apply knowledge from microeconomics only. The word count should not exceed 750.
Looking to Buy a Used Car in the Pandemic? So Is Everyone Else
Used cars are usually overlooked in the fanfare accorded to cutting-edge electric cars and gussied-up pickup trucks. Now they are suddenly the industry’s hottest commodity.
Consumers are snapping up used vehicles as second or third cars so they can avoid trains, buses or Ubers during the coronavirus pandemic. Others are buying used rather than new to save money in an uncertain economy, not knowing when they or their spouse might lose a job. Demand for older cars has also been fed by a roughly two-month halt in production of new cars this spring.
Across the country, the prices of used cars have shot up. The increase defies the conventional wisdom that cars are depreciating assets that lose a big chunk of their value the moment they leave the dealership. In July alone, the average value of used cars jumped more than 16 percent, according to Edmunds.com.
In June, the most recent month for which data is available, franchised car dealers sold 1.2 million used cars and trucks, according to Edmunds, up 22 percent from a year earlier. It was the highest monthly total since at least 2007.
The boom has turned the business of selling cars upside down. Because used cars don’t come from factories in Detroit, dealers are having to work as hard to buy cars as they typically do to sell them, they say, including running ads and cold calling people to ask if they would be interested in selling their old car. That’s how strong demand for used cars has become in the pandemic.
“Used cars are supposed to depreciate, but I’d look up the book value of a car on the lot and see it was higher than at the beginning of the month,” said Adam Silverleib, president of Silko Honda in Raynham, Mass. “I’ve never seen that before.”
Mr. Silverleib recently sold a 2017 Honda Pilot with 22,000 miles to Suzanne Cray and her husband. The family had gotten by with just one car. But Ms. Cray, a nurse who works at Tufts Medical Center in Boston, said the family had decided it needed another to ensure that no one had to ride with Uber or on public transportation.
“We used to take Uber to restaurants, especially if we were going out with friends and didn’t want to drink and drive,” said Ms. Cray, who has treated patients with the coronavirus. “We don’t do that anymore. We take our car instead.”
The boom is of a piece with other unexpected trends in a recession that has left millions of people unemployed and has devastated airlines, restaurants, hotels and small businesses. Despite that pain, the pandemic has been a boon to old standbys of the economy, such as canned and processed foods and suburban home sales, that had fallen out of favor in recent years.
The auto industry’s equivalent of the three-bedroom ranch with the charming backyard patio is a low-mileage car or S.U.V. — a lot cheaper than the newer version but just as good at taking the family to a socially distanced picnic after months of isolation.
The growing desire to own a car has caught many people by surprise and unnerved others who are worried about what it might say about the future of cities and transportation. Mayor Bill de Blasio, who gets around in an S.U.V., recently implored New Yorkers, many of whom don’t own vehicles, not to buy a car, saying they represent “the past.”
Those fears might be overdone. Buying a used car does not increase the number of cars on the road, of course. And sales of new cars are not taking off. If anything, part of the sudden mania for used cars stems from the yearslong rise in the price of new cars and trucks. On average, new vehicles now sell for about $38,000, more than many consumers can afford or are willing to pay.
In addition, many Americans realize they don’t have to worry that they’re buying a rattle trap that’s constantly in the shop. Cars and trucks of recent vintage are better made than those from a couple of decades ago, and certainly compared with the vehicles Ralph Nader inveighed against in his 1965 book, “Unsafe at Any Speed.”
Take Susan Sutherland, a tech worker in Bradley Beach on the Jersey Shore, who prefers buying new cars but recently purchased a 2016 Nissan Rogue because the cost of new vehicles put her off. “I paid $42,000 for the first house I bought,” she said. “I couldn’t imagine paying almost that for a car.”
Before the coronavirus, Ms. Sutherland regularly rode trains to New York City, Washington and beyond to see her son’s heavy-metal band, Tooth Grinder. But after a tough battle with the coronavirus that included two stays in the hospital, she decided to trade in her 2008 Mitsubishi sport utility vehicle for a newer car she could rely on for longer trips.
She paid $13,500 for the Rogue, which is loaded with heated seats and other frills. “I love it,” she said. “I’m really happy.”
Other consumers have gravitated toward used cars because there still aren’t that many new cars to choose from. Although automakers have restarted their plants after halting production for about 60 days from late March to mid-May, they haven’t made up for the lost time.
In the first seven months of the year, automakers produced 6.6 million cars and light trucks in North America, according to Automotive News. Those were three million fewer than they made in the same period in 2019.
Early in the pandemic, when many people avoided leaving home for all but the most pressing needs, carmakers offered no-interest loans for as long as 84 months to lure buyers. With new-car inventories low, such generous incentives have mostly disappeared.
But people with a car to sell still have some leverage. The strong demand for used cars has lifted trade-in values, a boon for some car buyers. Ms. Sutherland was shocked to get $2,000 for her Mitsubishi, which had 245,000 miles on it.
In July, Edmunds found that the average trade-in value rose almost $2,000, to just over $14,000.
AutoNation, a chain of 325 dealerships across the South and West, has begun buying cars from anyone who brings a vehicle into one of its stores — whether that owner is shopping for a new one or not — and sellers are cut checks on the spot. It acquired more than 3,500 used cars in July, up from about 2,000 that it typically buys in a month, said Marc Cannon, an executive vice president at the company.
Just north of Chicago, in Antioch, Ill., Mark Scarpelli has staff at his family’s Chevrolet, Kia and Chrysler dealerships hunting for used cars for sale. “We run ads on the web, on Facebook, on Instagram,” he said.
Business is so brisk that low-mileage used cars don’t stay on dealer lots for long. Mr. Silverleib, the Honda dealer in Massachusetts, said vehicles like the Pilot he sold to Ms. Cray might last mere hours.
“They’re gone before we get to take pictures of them,” he said. “They never even appear on the website.”
This banner year for the used car will — inevitably — end. Automakers will catch up on production, dealer lots will swell with new vehicles again, and enticing sales incentives will return, said Jessica Caldwell, a senior analyst at Edmunds. But demand for used cars could stay brisk if the pandemic worsens in the fall and the economy weakens further even if the supply of new cars improves.
“It won’t last forever,” Ms. Caldwell said. “But for now it’s a great time to trade in a used car.”
Publication information: By Neal E. Boudette, Sept. 7, 2020, New York Times.
In 2020, prices in the US used car market are rising rapidly. This is not in line with the usual logic. The price of used cars should have been continuously reduced. “In July alone, the average value of used cars jumped more than 16 percent, according to Edmunds.com.” The increase in prices represents an increase in demand. Considering the particularity of this year, this trend will not last long. The amount of second-hand car sales this year far exceeds that of last year. And is the highest sales in 13 years (since 2007).
Whenever we talk about the economic situation in 2020, we have to mention the impact of the new crown virus on the US economy. Because of fear of infection, people will no longer use public transportation. “Mr. Silverleib recently sold a 2017 Honda Pilot with 22,000 miles to Suzanne Cray and her husband. The family had gotten by with just one car. But Ms. Cray, a nurse who works at Tufts Medical Center in Boston, said the family had decided it needed another to ensure that no one had to ride with Uber or on public transportation.” In this case, those families with only one car will need a new car to ensure that no one in this family will expose themselves to the small space of public transportation.And after the unemployment rate increased during the epidemic, people’s income control situation is not optimistic. When they don’t know when they will be unemployed, buying a used car can save them a considerable amount of money.
Another reason for the increase in used car prices is that due to this year’s epidemic, auto manufacturing plants suspended production for about 60 days from March to May. Compared with the same period last year, there are three million fewer vehicles. Demand has increased, but supply has decreased. This has led to an increase in the average market price of used cars.
The picture on the left represents the supply and demand of the second-hand car market in the United States before the epidemic. Pe1 is the normal price. The picture on the right represents the supply and demand of the used car market during the epidemic. The increase in demand causes the demand curve to shift to the right. The supply curve remains unchanged. As a result, the market price of used cars has risen.
Under the conditions of this period, the price of used cars does not seem to be price elastic. Because people’s demand for a private transportation is very high. Even if the price goes up, a used car still looks more cost-effective than buying a new car. Therefore, the number of used cars that people buy varies little with price. There are no other good substitutes on the market.
Word count so far: 404
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